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Compared with these numbers, the Soviet declines are small, but they come at a time of market tightness.
The unemployment rate in the individual's 'travel to work area' measures the labour market tightness.
The z vector contains variables on both labour market tightness and personal characteristics.
Should, at that point, labor market tightness result in faster growth of nominal wage rates, there would be no offset from accelerating productivity.
Yesterday, in its beige book report on regional economic conditions, the Fed said that the economy was continuing to slow, but with scattered labor market tightness, which alarms bond traders because it hints at possible future inflation.
"We have no clue about labor market tightness right now," said J. Bradford De Long, a professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, who argues that workers still have little bargaining power.
"These signals of labor market tightness in the face of above-trend growth clearly sound inflation alarm bells," Ms. Minehan said at a forum on the economy at Middlebury College in Vermont.
"The reaction signals well in our view the deepness of the bearish sentiment, with markets more concerned about the lack of further cuts rather than about emerging evidence of actual market tightness," according to a note by analysts at Barclays Capital.
If we use the joblessness rate of prime-age males as a measure for labor market tightness and hold constant the prices of raw materials (which are determined in the world market) and inflationary expectations, the inverse relation between rising prices and labor market tightness still holds.
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